Home Forums EA Studio the danger of Curve-Fitting ..

BlackBull Markets
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    • #249589
      User AvatarRidwan salahudin


      this Strategy has passed some Test like, monte carlo, Walk Forward and Optimizing and i get strategy have Good Line (Circle Blue), but when Try it to New data (green box) , the graph is drawing good line at the frist time (Circle yellow), but at the end time is falling down(Red Circle)..  and i get Similiar result again, again and again…

      How to avoid this Case ?..

      i though mybe some Special Action can avoid this Case like

      1. what Acceptance Criteria do u use ?…
      2. what timeFrame do u use ?..
      3. how much data bars do u use, or Range Of Date?..
      4. what preset indicator do u use at frist time?..
      5. what setting generated like “Strategy Properties” or “Generator Settings” do u use?..

      any suggest ?…

      Thank you

    • #249653
      User AvatarAlan Northam

      Hi Ridwan,

      When using M1 time period the length of time the out of sample time frame in which the EA will continue to work properly is usually from 10% to 30% of the historical data time frame. The yellow circled area looks to be within this 10% to 30% range.


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