I don’t have sufficient real time trading results with my FTMO account to determine top performers. All I can go on is backtesting the v5 EAs using EA Studio.
There are only two top performers over the last 1 month, they are USDCHF and AUDUSD. These two EAs have upward sloping balance lines with pullbacks less than 1%. Trading for these two EAs were typically flat over the last one week. Typically after a period of trading flat trading can go in either direction in the future. Typically what you need to do is to monitor these two EAs to see which direction they start to trade in and then make trading decisions on those initial movements.
Over the last one week there were two EAs that had the deepest pullbacks of approximately 1.5%, they are EURUSD and GBPAUD. Typically after a large pullback or drawdown, same thing, trading starts to resume in the direction it was trading before the pullback started. What is unknown is if the pullback is now complete. With a pullback of 1.5% my guess is that it is close to being complete. Again, what needs to happen is to watch these two EAs to see if they start to make profitable trades again and then start trading them.
Having said all of this I don’t worry about what will happen over the short term such as one week as EAs will either be profitable, flat, or in drawdown. What the EAs do over the short term is unknown! What I look for is the longer term performance knowing that over the short term the EAs will either be profitable, flat or in drawdowns. I am interested in being profitable over the next several months and longer.
This is what I am interested in:
*This chart is from my own portfolio of 10 EAs.
Notice the periods in which this balance line moved higher (profits), moved sideways (flat), and moved downward (pullback or drawdown)? However, over the longer term the balance line moves upward indicating long term profits. In this case it shows approximately a 12% profit in just over one month. This is what I look for is a nice upward profitable balance line over the long term. Keeping your eye on the short term is fruitless, in my opinion.
Keep in mind there are no absolutes, only possibilities in trading.
Hope this helps!
Alan,